Dupa ce ieri am facut +31 pipsi verzi 15,369 centi cu doua pozitii long pe eurodolar luate pe retracement astazi am mai castigat +26 pipsi verzi 24,31 centi din doua pozitii short ; randamentul contului real este de +12,11% 0.39679 $ .
Astazi am intrat doar cu o pozitie short pe EUR/USD @1,2511 pe care am inchis-o la primul target de pret @1,2496 +16 pipsi verzi 14,08 centi +1,14R.
Reboundul tehnic pe eurodolar despre care scriam ieri a avut loc,cotatia urcind pina la un maxim de 1,2438 care este o rezistenta intraday destul de solida deocamdata asa ca am intrat doar cu o singura pozitie short @ 1,2383 si pe care am inchis-o la +14 pipsi verzi 12,32 centi +0,23 R .
Astazi am pus o pozitie short pe eurodolar @ 1,2222 pe care am inchis-o destul de repede ~ 15 minute in profit la 1,2155 +67 pipsi verzi 0,5159 centi +2,03 R.Totusi precautia trebuie sa fie la ordinea zilei,pentru ca tehnic dolarul incepe sa fie supracumparat fata de euro si un rebound tehnic de citeva figuri nu este deloc exclus…..
Astazi nu am luat nicio pozitie datorita faptului ca pozitia short pending de ieri pe eurodolar s-a activat aseara tarziu si s-a inchis la TP @ 1,2323 +76 pipsi verzi 58,52 centi (+0,616R).
Am incheiat saptamina trecuta cu al doilea mare drawdown din cariera mea de trader(-1672 pipsi rosii din 3 pozitii long pe eurodolar,in total -20,8053 $ -46,23R cumulat pentru cele 3 pozitii calculat din media pierderilor)si am revenit la tranzactionare cu precautie cu o pozitie short pe eurodolar deschisa la 1,2313 SL 1,2332 si TP 1,2300 atins in citeva minute(hit and run trading 
) si am castigat +13 pipsi verzi +10 centi +0,52 R.
Se pare ca scenariul bearish pentru eurodolar este inca activ din cauza crizei datoriilor tarilor P I G S si ca urmare dolarul s-a intarit ieri pina la minimul anului @ 1,2935 asa ca am intrat cu 2 pozitii pending,una long pe cable cu care am castigat +22 pipsi verzi +19,36 centi si a doua short pe eurodolar cu care am mai prins inca + 21 pipsi verzi +39,4 centi.
Yesterday, 11:34
Today chart
Forecast for this week, 03.05 - 07.05. H4 graph
Forecast for this month, April - May. Daily graph (dated 04/26/10)
The pair has left the “B-B+” correctional uptrend, which speaks about development of a downtrend at the moment with the drop target seen at level 1.2870 – the fifth wave’s target.
Level 1.3200 offered a fair support for the pair and now we may expect a slight correction towards resistance level 1.3490, from where the downtrend development will be resumed. A more confident downtrend will begin after the pair goes under levels 1.3270 and 1.3200, after that it will head to intermediate support 1.3090 (“F” trendline) and then to target level 1.2870.
Uptrend development may begin if the pair rises above resistance 1.3584 (leaves the “F-F+” channel), after which it will head to intermediate resistance 1.3770, and if it gets over it the next upside target will be set to level 1.3960.
Forecast for the next quarter, April - June. Weekly graph (dated 03/22/10)
The development of 5-wave downtrend is in progress. By rebounding from key level 1.3800 the pair has completed the 4th correctional wave and now its drop target is seen at level 1.2870 (the 5th wave’s target).
Getting to 1.2870 is probable within the next 20-30 days, after which the market will begin forming a trend-turning/continuing figure. Forming of that figure may take about a month.
Let’s discuss two variants of events to proceed:
1. Direct drop to level 1.2870.
2. If the pair fails consolidating below level 1.3500 and then rises above level 1.3800, the downtrend will fade out and we will expect the pair to rise to level 1.4350 and also to 1.4600.
Forecast for the next year, 2010-2011. Monthly graph (dated 03/22/10)
The fact that the pair has quit the “P-P+” uptrend (after going below level 1.4550) granted an opportunity to drop to level 1.2750 (the “neckline” of “head and shoulders” figure). Taking to account the picture at weekly graph, this downwave is supposed to be completed at level 1.2870.
There are two variants of events to proceed:
1. The downtrend persists and the pair gets to level 1.2750. Next, in case the pair continues to drop and goes below level 1.2750, we may expect it to drop as low as to level 1.0000.
2. Alternative variant. Upon getting to level 1.2750 there is a possibility of rebound followed by an uptrend development. In case the pair rebounds from 1.2750 and rises above level 1.3100, it will get to 1.4600.
Astazi am intrat cu 4 ordine pending,3 pozitii short pe EUR/USD si pe GBP/USD , respectiv long pe USD/JPY in asteptarea breakoutului suportului de la 1,3200 pe eurodolar,si deocamdata s-a activat un short pe eurodolar din care am castigat rapid +16 pipsi verzi +12,32 centi(+0,15R),celelalte 3 fiind setate pending pina la inchiderea pietei.
Astazi am avut deschise 5 pozitii 4 short si 1 long pe eurodolar si per total am pierdut -73 pipsi -0,9897 centi.